Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Manzanita Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Drexel Heights

Tract 04019004312 · Pima, AZ · pop 6,309 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

04019004312 is a census tract in the Manzanita Manor area of Drexel Heights, AZ. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,309 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.4/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 18% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,993
Renter share29.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$68,862

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Manzanita Manor
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Drexel Heights
Moderate
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#897 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Drexel Heights and the region

Centroid at 32.1447, -111.0278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manzanita Manor scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,287 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Drexel Heights
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.2

How Manzanita Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manzanita Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 004312Drexel Heights: 3.43.4Drexel Heightsparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,287Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 19.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.5%Peak (2013)
  • 90Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190043122004: 123 filings (27.21/100 renter HHs)2005: 129 filings (26.33/100 renter HHs)2006: 117 filings (23.88/100 renter HHs)2007: 79 filings (16.12/100 renter HHs)2008: 81 filings (16.53/100 renter HHs)2009: 87 filings (17.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 80 filings (14.44/100 renter HHs)2011: 108 filings (17.42/100 renter HHs)2012: 103 filings (16.61/100 renter HHs)2013: 183 filings (29.52/100 renter HHs)2016: 107 filings (16.67/100 renter HHs)2017: 90 filings (14.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manzanita Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manzanita Manor

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally. Cost burden runs 39% here against 43.8% across Pima County.

The filing record is not thin: 1,287 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 29.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 19.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,287, close to the Drexel Heights average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $68,862.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004312

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004312?

Census tract 04019004312 in the Manzanita Manor neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004312?

Median gross rent is $1,287/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004312?

12.9% of residents in tract 04019004312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 78th, minority 87th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004312 considered part of Manzanita Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004312 fall within Manzanita Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004312?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,287 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004312 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.71% of renter households, peaking at 29.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004312 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004312 compare to Drexel Heights overall?

Tract 04019004312 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Drexel Heights at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Drexel Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Drexel Heights

Top eight tracts in Drexel Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related