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Neighborhood · Drexel Heights, AZ

Manzanita Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 21,164 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3–4.8

Manzanita Manor takes in 4 census tracts of Drexel Heights, AZ, population 21,164. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 44% against 32.1% citywide, putting Manzanita Manor 11.7% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Court records carry 3,394 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. 20.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 31.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 11.3% in 2017, is well off that peak.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,375, close to the Drexel Heights average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $68,880.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Manzanita Manor vs Drexel Heights How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.8% +36%
Drexel Heights: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,375 +2%
Drexel Heights: $1,342
Average HH income
$68,880 -8%
Drexel Heights: $75,152
Poverty rate
16.1% +8%
Drexel Heights: 14.9%
Renter share
34.0% +124%
Drexel Heights: 15.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manzanita Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–4.8

Why Manzanita Manor scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.1 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 1.5–7.6 across tracts
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–4.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 4.5–5.5 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–7.2 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
16.1% below poverty line · Range 1.4–5.2 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–6.9 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Manzanita Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Manzanita Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Manzanita Manor: 4.14.1Manzanita ManorNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Manzanita Manor?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 3 to 4.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Manzanita Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019002505 4.8 6,778 40% $1,329
04019002508 4.7 5,459 63% $1,635
04019004312 3.4 6,309 39% $1,287
04019004310 3 2,618 25% $1,164
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Manzanita Manor

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,394Total filings (sum)
  • 17.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.2%Peak year (2013)
  • 12.98%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Manzanita Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Manzanita Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Manzanita Manor?

Manzanita Manor scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Manzanita Manor compare to Drexel Heights overall?

Manzanita Manor scores 0.7 points higher than Drexel Heights overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,375 vs $1,342.
Q3

What is the average rent in Manzanita Manor?

Average gross rent in Manzanita Manor is $1,375/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Manzanita Manor residents are renters?

34% of Manzanita Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Drexel Heights). The neighborhood has 21,164 residents.
Q5

Is Manzanita Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Manzanita Manor sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Manzanita Manor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Manzanita Manor is census tract 04019002505 (score 4.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.8, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Manzanita Manor for landlords?

Manzanita Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Drexel Heights as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Manzanita Manor?

Manzanita Manor has 20,158 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (73.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.5%), Other / Multiracial (2.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

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