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Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Green Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004338 · Pima, AZ · pop 1,232 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Green Valley

For landlords sizing up Green Valley, census tract 04019004338 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #53,400 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $64,750 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units757
Renter share1.7%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$64,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Green Valley
Elevated
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#165 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,001 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#54,934 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Valley and the region

Centroid at 31.8808, -111.0115 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Valley scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Green Valley
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Valley
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Valley
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Valley
7.0

How Green Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 004338Green Valley: 2.52.5Green Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Valley

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 3.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004338

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004338?

Census tract 04019004338 in Green Valley scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004338?

12.2% of residents in tract 04019004338 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,232.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004338?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 21th, minority 12th, housing 29th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 04019004338 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 04019004338 compare to Green Valley overall?

Tract 04019004338 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Green Valley at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Green Valley

Top eight tracts in Green Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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