Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004044 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,864 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Tucson
Tucson anchors census tract 04019004044, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 37% of US census tracts.
19% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,069 a month against an average household income of $115,809 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,695
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$115,809
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2246, -110.7511 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,069 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 88Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2009)
- 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 80% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 88 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.5% of renter households in 2009.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004044
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004044?
Census tract 04019004044 in Tucson scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004044?
Median gross rent is $2,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004044?
7.6% of residents in tract 04019004044 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,864.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004044?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 55th, minority 39th, housing 8th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004044?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 04019004044 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.05% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004044 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004044 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004044 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
West University
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04019002202
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Keeling
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04019003506
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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