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Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004047 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,758

Eviction risk in Tucson eviction risk centers on tract 04019004047, which scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,758 residents. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,656 a month against an average household income of $110,938 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,269
Renter share3.8%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$110,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#134 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#164 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,001 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#54,934 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2439, -110.8039 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,656 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Tucson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tucson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 004047Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 58Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 4.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2005)
  • 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190040472004: 6 filings (6.13/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (9.55/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (8.08/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (5.87/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (3.67/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2011: 2 filings (1.64/100 renter HHs)2012: 1 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (1.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004047

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004047?

Census tract 04019004047 in Tucson scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004047?

Median gross rent is $1,656/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004047?

7.3% of residents in tract 04019004047 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,758.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004047?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 32th, minority 32th, housing 4th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004047?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 04019004047 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.03% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004047 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004047 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004047 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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