Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Picture Rocks Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004425 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,479 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Picture Rocks
Tract 04019004425 sits in Picture Rocks, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Population here is 5,479. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,425
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$64,360
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Picture Rocks and the region
Centroid at 32.3829, -111.4551 · click any tract to drill in
Why Picture Rocks scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Picture Rocks
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,552 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Picture Rocks
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Picture Rocks
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Picture Rocks
5.9
How Picture Rocks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 158Total filings over 12 yrs
- 5.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2005)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Picture Rocks
Against Pima County at 43.8%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,552, 62% above the Picture Rocks average.
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 158 evictions over 12 years of observation. The voucher gap is 13.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004425
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004425?
Census tract 04019004425 in Picture Rocks scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004425?
Median gross rent is $1,552/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004425?
15.5% of residents in tract 04019004425 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,479.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004425?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 50th, minority 40th, housing 39th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004425?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004425 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.10% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004425 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004425 compare to Picture Rocks overall?
Tract 04019004425 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Picture Rocks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Picture Rocks; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Picture Rocks
Top eight tracts in Picture Rocks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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