Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $63,524 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The voucher gap is 25.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Against Pima County at 43.8%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 193 evictions over 12 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 11.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.