Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Silvercroft Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019004414 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 3,155 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 04019004414 covers part of the Silvercroft area of Tucson, AZ, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,155. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 36%Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,234
Renter share55.2%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$75,068
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Silvercroft
Very Low
Within parent city
26th percentile
#106 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Low
Within county
49th percentile
#137 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
54th percentile
#811 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2421, -111.0142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Silvercroft scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,304 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Silvercroft compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
68%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
841Total filings over 12 yrs
13.78%Avg annual filing rate
20.8%Peak (2007)
73Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2017
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Silvercroft. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.9%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
16.9%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
9.7%Transit barriers
16.0%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Silvercroft
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Pima County average of 43.8%.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Court records carry 841 eviction filings across 12 observed years.
At $1,304 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Tucson commands. The worst year on record was 2007, when 20.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $75,068.
55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004414
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004414?
Census tract 04019004414 in the Silvercroft neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004414?
Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004414?
11.9% of residents in tract 04019004414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,155.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004414?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 92th, minority 80th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004414 considered part of Silvercroft?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004414 fall within Silvercroft (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004414?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 841 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004414 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.78% of renter households, peaking at 20.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004414 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004414 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004414 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.