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Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Casas Adobes Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004646 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,434 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Casas Adobes

Tract 04019004646 covers Casas Adobes in Pima County in Arizona. Home to 4,434 residents, it scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,621 monthly, set against $92,948 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 17% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,805
Renter share22.9%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$92,948

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 18 tracts In Casas Adobes
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#212 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#1,413 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#71,178 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region

Centroid at 32.3525, -111.0678 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casas Adobes scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casas Adobes
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,621 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casas Adobes
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casas Adobes
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casas Adobes
5.3

How Casas Adobes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casas Adobes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 004646Casas Adobes: 2.62.6Casas Adobesparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 161Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 5.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2004)
  • 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190046462004: 22 filings (11.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2006: 8 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2007: 10 filings (5.57/100 renter HHs)2008: 19 filings (10.59/100 renter HHs)2009: 21 filings (11.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (3.84/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)2012: 16 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2013: 16 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2017: 5 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 77% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casas Adobes

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004646

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004646?

Census tract 04019004646 in Casas Adobes scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004646?

Median gross rent is $1,621/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004646?

5.8% of residents in tract 04019004646 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,434.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004646?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 78th, minority 63th, housing 25th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004646?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 161 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004646 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.02% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004646 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004646 compare to Casas Adobes overall?

Tract 04019004646 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Casas Adobes at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casas Adobes

Top eight tracts in Casas Adobes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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