Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Casas Adobes Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004647 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,879 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Casas Adobes
04019004647 is a census tract in Casas Adobes, AZ. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 24% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,392
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$74,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region
Centroid at 32.3447, -111.0550 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casas Adobes scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Casas Adobes
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casas Adobes
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casas Adobes
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casas Adobes
5.3
How Casas Adobes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 99Total filings over 12 yrs
- 4.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2004)
- 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 62% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casas Adobes
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 53.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Set annual rent against average income of $74,571 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $2,112, 28% above the Casas Adobes average.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Court records carry 99 eviction filings across 12 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 0.6 points below the Pima County average of 3.9. Filings peaked in 2004 at 8.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004647
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004647?
Census tract 04019004647 in Casas Adobes scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004647?
Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004647?
8.4% of residents in tract 04019004647 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,879.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004647?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 44th, minority 57th, housing 41th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004647?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 99 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004647 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.54% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004647 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004647 compare to Casas Adobes overall?
Tract 04019004647 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Casas Adobes at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casas Adobes
Top eight tracts in Casas Adobes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004626
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004625
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Valley View
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004627
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Valley View
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Casas Adobes
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004621
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Casas Adobes
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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