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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Valley View Eviction Risk: Lower , Casas Adobes

Tract 04019004725 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,137 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

For landlords sizing up the Valley View neighborhood of Casas Adobes, census tract 04019004725 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #44,305 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,099 a month against an average household income of $56,291 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 47% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,801
Renter share66.6%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$56,291

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Valley View
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 18 tracts In Casas Adobes
High
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#166 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,040 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region

Centroid at 32.3090, -110.9692 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valley View scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casas Adobes
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,099 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casas Adobes
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casas Adobes
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casas Adobes
5.3

How Valley View compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valley View risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 004725Casas Adobes: 2.62.6Casas Adobesparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,515Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 30.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 66.5%Peak (2006)
  • 95Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190047252004: 156 filings (44.44/100 renter HHs)2005: 162 filings (50.09/100 renter HHs)2006: 215 filings (66.47/100 renter HHs)2007: 185 filings (57.20/100 renter HHs)2008: 180 filings (55.65/100 renter HHs)2009: 151 filings (46.69/100 renter HHs)2010: 110 filings (11.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 81 filings (8.04/100 renter HHs)2012: 61 filings (6.06/100 renter HHs)2013: 64 filings (6.36/100 renter HHs)2016: 55 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2017: 95 filings (8.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valley View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valley View

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,515 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 30.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 66.5% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004725

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004725?

Census tract 04019004725 in the Valley View neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004725?

Median gross rent is $1,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004725?

8.6% of residents in tract 04019004725 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,137.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004725?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 5th, minority 43th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004725 considered part of Valley View?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004725 fall within Valley View (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004725?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,515 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004725 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.50% of renter households, peaking at 66.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004725 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004725 compare to Casas Adobes overall?

Tract 04019004725 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Casas Adobes at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casas Adobes

Top eight tracts in Casas Adobes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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