Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Casas Adobes Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004626 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 3,292
04019004626 is a census tract in Casas Adobes, AZ. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,292 residents. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%Stable renters 42%Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,797
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$53,309
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 18 tracts In Casas Adobes
Very High
Within county
65th percentile
#96 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
71th percentile
#509 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
49th percentile
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region
Centroid at 32.3421, -111.0209 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casas Adobes scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casas Adobes
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,246 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casas Adobes
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casas Adobes
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casas Adobes
5.3
How Casas Adobes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
89%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.3%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
14.0%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
32.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casas Adobes
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.4/10.
Average gross rent is $1,246, 24% below the Casas Adobes average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,542 filings here across 12 tracked years. Against Pima County at 43.8%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.
Filings peaked in 2008 at 20.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $53,309.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004626
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004626?
Census tract 04019004626 in Casas Adobes scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004626?
Median gross rent is $1,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004626?
13.8% of residents in tract 04019004626 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004626?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 75th, minority 64th, housing 59th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004626?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,542 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004626 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.75% of renter households, peaking at 20.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004626 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004626 compare to Casas Adobes overall?
Tract 04019004626 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casas Adobes at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casas Adobes
Top eight tracts in Casas Adobes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.