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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Casas Adobes Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04019004626 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,292

04019004626 is a census tract in Casas Adobes, AZ. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,292 residents. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 42% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,797
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$53,309

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 18 tracts In Casas Adobes
Very High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#96 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#509 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region

Centroid at 32.3421, -111.0209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casas Adobes scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casas Adobes
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,246 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casas Adobes
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casas Adobes
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casas Adobes
5.3

How Casas Adobes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casas Adobes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 004626Casas Adobes: 3.93.9Casas Adobesparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,542Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 14.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.1%Peak (2008)
  • 182Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190046262004: 139 filings (10.03/100 renter HHs)2005: 218 filings (15.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 215 filings (15.66/100 renter HHs)2007: 217 filings (15.80/100 renter HHs)2008: 276 filings (20.10/100 renter HHs)2009: 260 filings (18.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 206 filings (13.54/100 renter HHs)2011: 191 filings (13.02/100 renter HHs)2012: 256 filings (17.45/100 renter HHs)2013: 248 filings (16.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 134 filings (8.34/100 renter HHs)2017: 182 filings (11.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casas Adobes

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.4/10.

Average gross rent is $1,246, 24% below the Casas Adobes average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,542 filings here across 12 tracked years. Against Pima County at 43.8%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.

Filings peaked in 2008 at 20.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $53,309.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004626

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004626?

Census tract 04019004626 in Casas Adobes scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004626?

Median gross rent is $1,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004626?

13.8% of residents in tract 04019004626 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,292.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004626?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 75th, minority 64th, housing 59th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004626?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,542 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004626 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.75% of renter households, peaking at 20.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004626 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004626 compare to Casas Adobes overall?

Tract 04019004626 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casas Adobes at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casas Adobes

Top eight tracts in Casas Adobes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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