Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Mesa del Sol Eviction Risk: Lower , Fortuna Foothills
Tract 04027010907 · Yuma, AZ · pop 5,015 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
04027010907 is a census tract in the Mesa del Sol area of Fortuna Foothills, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,015 residents. Against Yuma County at 40.1%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,947
Renter share29.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$78,514
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fortuna Foothills and the region
Centroid at 32.6838, -114.4301 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa del Sol scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fortuna Foothills
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,737 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fortuna Foothills
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fortuna Foothills
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fortuna Foothills
7.0
How Mesa del Sol compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mesa del Sol
At $1,737 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Fortuna Foothills commands. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.
The voucher gap is 26.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Yuma County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $78,514. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04027010907
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027010907?
Census tract 04027010907 in the Mesa del Sol neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04027010907?
Median gross rent is $1,737/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04027010907?
12.9% of residents in tract 04027010907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,015.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04027010907?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 92th, minority 63th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 04027010907 considered part of Mesa del Sol?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027010907 fall within Mesa del Sol (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04027010907 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04027010907 compare to Fortuna Foothills overall?
Tract 04027010907 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fortuna Foothills at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fortuna Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fortuna Foothills
Top eight tracts in Fortuna Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Los Amigos
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
The Foothills
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04027011123
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arroyo del Fortuna
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Los Amigos
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04027010910
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arroyo del Fortuna
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Oasis Del Este
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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