Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Arroyo del Fortuna Eviction Risk: Lower , Fortuna Foothills

Tract 04027011112 · Yuma, AZ · pop 2,811 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 04027011112 covers part of the Arroyo del Fortuna area of Fortuna Foothills, AZ, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,811. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units1,577

Renter share10.8%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate13.0%

Median income$54,874

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fortuna Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.6542, -114.4031 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arroyo del Fortuna scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

5.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.7

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

13.0% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$968 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

4.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

7.0

How Arroyo del Fortuna compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

37%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arroyo del Fortuna. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.7%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
11.7%No health insurance
12.0%Frequent mental distress
41.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arroyo del Fortuna

Cost burden runs 68% here against 40.1% across Yuma County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. At $968 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Fortuna Foothills commands.

Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Yuma County average of 3.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $54,874.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027011112

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027011112?

Census tract 04027011112 in the Arroyo del Fortuna neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04027011112?

Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027011112?

13.0% of residents in tract 04027011112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,811.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027011112?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 77th, minority 44th, housing 51th.

Is tract 04027011112 considered part of Arroyo del Fortuna?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027011112 fall within Arroyo del Fortuna (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04027011112 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04027011112 compare to Fortuna Foothills overall?

Tract 04027011112 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Fortuna Foothills at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fortuna Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fortuna Foothills

Top eight tracts in Fortuna Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.