Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Arroyo del Fortuna Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fortuna Foothills

Tract 04027011124 · Yuma, AZ · pop 1,559 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 04027011124 in the Arroyo del Fortuna area of Fortuna Foothills, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,559. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Yuma County average of 40.1%.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,039

Renter share12.9%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate15.4%

Median income$48,407

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fortuna Foothills and the region

Centroid at 32.6340, -114.3955 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arroyo del Fortuna scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

5.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.7

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

15.4% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$850 rent vs county FMR

1.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

4.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fortuna Foothills

7.0

How Arroyo del Fortuna compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
11%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arroyo del Fortuna. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
11.1%Frequent mental distress
43.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arroyo del Fortuna

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. At $850 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Fortuna Foothills commands.

Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Yuma County average of 3.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $48,407.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027011124

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027011124?

Census tract 04027011124 in the Arroyo del Fortuna neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04027011124?

Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027011124?

15.4% of residents in tract 04027011124 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,559.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027011124?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 36th, minority 11th, housing 14th.

Is tract 04027011124 considered part of Arroyo del Fortuna?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027011124 fall within Arroyo del Fortuna (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04027011124 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04027011124 compare to Fortuna Foothills overall?

Tract 04027011124 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Fortuna Foothills at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fortuna Foothills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fortuna Foothills

Top eight tracts in Fortuna Foothills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.