The Vue Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 48%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $28,594 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 28.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Washington County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,142, close to the Fayetteville average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.