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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06001430400 · Alameda, CA · pop 2,155

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 06001430400 in Castro Valley, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,155. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units706
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$208,929

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 14 tracts In Castro Valley
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#345 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#7,527 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region

Centroid at 37.7212, -122.1011 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castro Valley scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,281 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.1

How Castro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castro Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 430400Castro Valley: 6.86.8Castro Valleyparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points. At $3,281 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Castro Valley commands.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. The voucher gap is 22.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001430400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001430400?

Census tract 06001430400 in Castro Valley scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001430400?

Median gross rent is $3,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001430400?

1.4% of residents in tract 06001430400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,155.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001430400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 20th, minority 68th, housing 13th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06001430400 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06001430400 compare to Castro Valley overall?

Tract 06001430400 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley

Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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