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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Decoto Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City

Tract 06001440301 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,074 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is the Decoto neighborhood of Union City for landlords? Census tract 06001440301 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,176 a month against an average household income of $123,102 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 13% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,151
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$123,102

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Decoto
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Union City
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#219 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Moderate
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#6,383 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.6013, -122.0427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decoto scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,176 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.6

How Decoto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Decoto risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 440301Union City: 8.18.1Union Cityparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Decoto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decoto

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Alameda County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440301?

Census tract 06001440301 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001440301?

Median gross rent is $2,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440301?

3.6% of residents in tract 06001440301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,074.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 34th, minority 80th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 06001440301 considered part of Decoto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440301 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001440301 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001440301 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440301 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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