Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Niles Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fremont

Tract 06001441100 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,632 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6.5/10, tract 06001441100 in the Niles Junction area of Fremont, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 9% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,757

Renter share19.1%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate7.9%

Median income$175,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fremont and the region

Centroid at 37.5856, -121.9620 · click any tract to drill in

Why Niles Junction scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fremont

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.9% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,926 rent vs county FMR

5.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fremont

4.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fremont

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fremont

4.0

How Niles Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Niles Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.9%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
7.3%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
26.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Niles Junction

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.3 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.

SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001441100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001441100?

Census tract 06001441100 in the Niles Junction neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001441100?

Median gross rent is $2,926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001441100?

7.9% of residents in tract 06001441100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,632.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001441100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 49th, minority 70th, housing 92th.

Is tract 06001441100 considered part of Niles Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001441100 fall within Niles Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001441100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001441100 compare to Fremont overall?

Tract 06001441100 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Fremont at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fremont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fremont

Top eight tracts in Fremont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.