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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Niles Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fremont

Tract 06001441924 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,199 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6.7/10, tract 06001441924 in the Niles Junction area of Fremont, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,199 residents. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 34% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,643
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$191,306

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Niles Junction
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 48 tracts In Fremont
High
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#243 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#5,752 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fremont and the region

Centroid at 37.5648, -121.9733 · click any tract to drill in

Why Niles Junction scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fremont
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$3,201 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fremont
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fremont
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fremont
4.0

How Niles Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Niles Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 441924Fremont: 7.27.2Fremontparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Niles Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Niles Junction

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.3/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. The voucher gap is 19.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $3,201, 9% above the Fremont average.

That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001441924

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001441924?

Census tract 06001441924 in the Niles Junction neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001441924?

Median gross rent is $3,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001441924?

10.0% of residents in tract 06001441924 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,199.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001441924?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 11th, minority 87th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 06001441924 considered part of Niles Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001441924 fall within Niles Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001441924 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001441924 compare to Fremont overall?

Tract 06001441924 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Fremont at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fremont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fremont

Top eight tracts in Fremont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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