3 census tracts · pop 19,185 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10
· range 6–6.7
Niles Junction is a 3-tract neighborhood of Fremont, CA, population 19,185. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.4/10, in the Elevated tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Fremont rate of 27.3%.
26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.
SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 4.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Fremont, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Centerville District and Irvington District. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $2,902, close to the Fremont average.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 6.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Niles Junction vs FremontHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Niles Junction
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.0%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
4.5%No health insurance
21.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Niles Junction
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Niles Junction?
Niles Junction scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Niles Junction compare to Fremont overall?
Niles Junction scores 0.8 points lower than Fremont overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,902 vs $2,933.
Q3
What is the average rent in Niles Junction?
Average gross rent in Niles Junction is $2,902/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Niles Junction residents are renters?
36% of Niles Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Fremont). The neighborhood has 19,185 residents.
Q5
Is Niles Junction a high social-vulnerability area?
Niles Junction sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Niles Junction have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Niles Junction is census tract 06001441924 (score 6.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6.7, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Niles Junction for landlords?
Niles Junction carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fremont as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Niles Junction?
Niles Junction has 19,275 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (52.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.7%), Hispanic / Latino (12.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
