Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Niles Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fremont

Tract 06001441200 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,354 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06001441200 sits in the Niles Junction area of Fremont eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 7,354 residents. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 19% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units2,640

Renter share34.7%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate3.7%

Median income$168,722

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fremont and the region

Centroid at 37.5781, -121.9910 · click any tract to drill in

Why Niles Junction scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fremont

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,595 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fremont

4.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fremont

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fremont

4.0

How Niles Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

16%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Niles Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.0%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
8.9%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
21.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Niles Junction

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,595, 12% below the Fremont average.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001441200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001441200?

Census tract 06001441200 in the Niles Junction neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001441200?

Median gross rent is $2,595/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001441200?

3.7% of residents in tract 06001441200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,354.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001441200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 26th, minority 78th, housing 47th.

Is tract 06001441200 considered part of Niles Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001441200 fall within Niles Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001441200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001441200 compare to Fremont overall?

Tract 06001441200 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Fremont at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fremont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fremont

Top eight tracts in Fremont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.