Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Contempo Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 06001441521 · Alameda, CA · pop 6,016 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 6.5/10, tract 06001441521 in the Contempo area of Fremont, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 9% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,837

Renter share20.0%

SVI overall0.50

Poverty rate8.1%

Median income$211,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5730, -122.0528 · click any tract to drill in

Why Contempo scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Union City

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.1% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$3,394 rent vs county FMR

7.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Union City

4.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Union City

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Union City

4.0

How Contempo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

16%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Contempo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.7%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
7.4%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
11.7%Frequent mental distress
22.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Contempo

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 26.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 45.5% across Alameda County.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Average gross rent is $3,394, 16% above the Fremont average.

SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001441521

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001441521?

Census tract 06001441521 in the Contempo neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001441521?

Median gross rent is $3,394/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001441521?

8.1% of residents in tract 06001441521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,016.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001441521?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 59th, minority 90th, housing 72th.

Is tract 06001441521 considered part of Contempo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001441521 fall within Contempo (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001441521 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001441521 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001441521 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.