Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Contempo Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 06001440306 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,787 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 06001440306 sits in the Contempo area of Union City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 13% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units1,065

Renter share28.5%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate4.1%

Median income$112,723

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5850, -122.0683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Contempo scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Union City

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,132 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Union City

5.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Union City

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Union City

5.6

How Contempo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Contempo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.6%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
24.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Contempo

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $112,723 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. The voucher gap is 16.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $3,132, 15% above the Union City average. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440306

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440306?

Census tract 06001440306 in the Contempo neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001440306?

Median gross rent is $3,132/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440306?

4.1% of residents in tract 06001440306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,787.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 20th, minority 91th, housing 45th.

Is tract 06001440306 considered part of Contempo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440306 fall within Contempo (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001440306 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001440306 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440306 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.