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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Contempo Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 06001440307 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,481 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 6.5/10, tract 06001440307 in the Contempo area of Union City, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,481. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 21% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,514
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$102,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In Contempo
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In Union City
High
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#252 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5911, -122.0487 · click any tract to drill in

Why Contempo scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,764 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.6

How Contempo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Contempo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 440307Union City: 6.66.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Contempo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Contempo

At $1,764 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Union City commands. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $102,500. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440307?

Census tract 06001440307 in the Contempo neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001440307?

Median gross rent is $1,764/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440307?

5.9% of residents in tract 06001440307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,481.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 51th, minority 88th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 06001440307 considered part of Contempo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440307 fall within Contempo (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001440307 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001440307 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440307 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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