Census Tract · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002817 · Kern, CA · pop 5,402

For landlords sizing up Bakersfield, census tract 06029002817 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,373 a month against an average household income of $55,625 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 25% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units1,784

Renter share63.6%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate23.2%

Median income$55,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3274, -119.0701 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

23.2% poverty · this tract

5.8

Supply constraint

$1,373 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.0%Housing insecurity
15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
33.0%Food insecurity
34.0%SNAP enrollment
17.2%Transit barriers
17.6%No health insurance
22.8%Frequent mental distress
40.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002817

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002817?

Census tract 06029002817 in Bakersfield scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029002817?

Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002817?

23.2% of residents in tract 06029002817 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,402.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002817?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 90th, minority 85th, housing 95th.

What share of households in tract 06029002817 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029002817 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002817 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.