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Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002817 · Kern, CA · pop 5,402

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 06029002817 in Bakersfield, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 25% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,784
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$55,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#87 of 236 tracts In Kern
Elevated
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#4,881 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,988 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3274, -119.0701 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,373 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.2This tracttract 0028176.1Bakersfieldparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

SNAP participation runs 34.0% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 60% here against 49.2% across Kern County.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Bakersfield eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,373, close to the Bakersfield average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $55,625. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002817

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002817?

Census tract 06029002817 in Bakersfield scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029002817?

Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002817?

23.2% of residents in tract 06029002817 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,402.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002817?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 90th, minority 85th, housing 95th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029002817 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029002817 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002817 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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