Census Tract · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003133 · Kern, CA · pop 2,723 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

Tract 06029003133, home to 2,723 residents in Bakersfield in Kern County, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,341 a month against an average household income of $68,975 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 14% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units765

Renter share22.1%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate27.1%

Median income$68,975

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3049, -119.0427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

27.1% poverty · this tract

6.8

Supply constraint

$1,341 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.6%Housing insecurity
11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
26.7%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
16.6%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
39.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003133

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003133?

Census tract 06029003133 in Bakersfield scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003133?

Median gross rent is $1,341/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003133?

27.1% of residents in tract 06029003133 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,723.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003133?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 82th, minority 78th, housing 99th.

What share of households in tract 06029003133 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003133 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003133 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.