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Census Tract · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002818 · Kern, CA · pop 4,933

Tract 06029002818, home to 4,933 residents in Bakersfield, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,406 monthly, set against $87,660 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 12% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,538
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$87,660

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#61 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Moderate
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#153 of 236 tracts In Kern
Low
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#3,224 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8,912 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3323, -119.0852 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,406 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 002818Bakersfield: 7.77.7Bakersfieldparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002818

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002818?

Census tract 06029002818 in Bakersfield scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029002818?

Median gross rent is $1,406/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002818?

13.1% of residents in tract 06029002818 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,933.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002818?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 62th, minority 75th, housing 44th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029002818 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029002818 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002818 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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