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Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002202 · Kern, CA · pop 3,659

With a score of 7.5/10, tract 06029002202 in Bakersfield, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,659 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 31% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units985
Renter share77.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate46.6%
Median income$40,941

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Very High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 236 tracts In Kern
Elevated
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#4,386 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10,320 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3646, -118.9873 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
46.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0022026.1Bakersfieldparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Housing insecurity runs 43.4% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 47%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Disability prevalence runs 53.0% against 31.5% nationally. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Kern County average of 49.2%. Set annual rent against average income of $40,941 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $1,180 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Bakersfield commands.

It sits 1.1 points above the Kern County average of 6.4. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002202?

Census tract 06029002202 in Bakersfield scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029002202?

Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002202?

46.6% of residents in tract 06029002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 93th, minority 93th, housing 88th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029002202 struggle to pay rent?

About 43.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029002202 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002202 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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