Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003215 · Kern, CA · pop 4,052 · 42% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

With a score of 7.1/10, tract 06029003215 in Bakersfield, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,052 residents. Set annual rent against average income of $51,088 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Risk score

7.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,111

Renter share44.6%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate21.1%

Median income$51,088

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.2610, -119.0007 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.1% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,563 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.3%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
26.3%Food insecurity
24.5%SNAP enrollment
13.1%Transit barriers
17.3%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
37.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 24.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 26.3% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 13.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 0.7 points above the Kern County average of 6.4.

That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,563, close to the Bakersfield average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003215

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003215?

Census tract 06029003215 in Bakersfield scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003215?

Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003215?

21.1% of residents in tract 06029003215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,052.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 95th, minority 86th, housing 88th.

What share of households in tract 06029003215 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003215 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003215 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.