Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002902 · Kern, CA · pop 4,038

With a score of 7.1/10, tract 06029002902 in Bakersfield, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,038 residents. Against Kern County at 49.2%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

7.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 35% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units1,385

Renter share54.9%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate21.3%

Median income$53,401

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3286, -119.0302 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.3% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$998 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.7%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
28.9%Food insecurity
27.5%SNAP enrollment
14.7%Transit barriers
17.7%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
38.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Average gross rent is $998, 32% below the Bakersfield average. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.2/10. Food insecurity runs 28.9% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $53,401. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002902?

Census tract 06029002902 in Bakersfield scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029002902?

Median gross rent is $998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002902?

21.3% of residents in tract 06029002902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,038.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 98th, minority 86th, housing 90th.

What share of households in tract 06029002902 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029002902 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002902 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.