Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bakersfield

Tract 06029003817 · Kern, CA · pop 4,243 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06029003817 sits in the The Polo Greens area of Bakersfield eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 4,243 residents. Cost burden runs 7% here against 49.2% across Kern County.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 17% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,304

Renter share17.9%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate9.8%

Median income$139,655

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4045, -119.1173 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Polo Greens scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.8% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$2,541 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How The Polo Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

33%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
28.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,541 a month, rents run 73% over what the rest of Bakersfield commands. The voucher gap is 84.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $139,655.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003817

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003817?

Census tract 06029003817 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003817?

Median gross rent is $2,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003817?

9.8% of residents in tract 06029003817 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,243.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003817?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 21th, minority 58th, housing 10th.

Is tract 06029003817 considered part of The Polo Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003817 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06029003817 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003817 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003817 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.