Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bakersfield

Tract 06029003808 · Kern, CA · pop 4,745 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 06029003808 in the The Polo Greens area of Bakersfield, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,745. The voucher gap is 25.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 17% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units1,577

Renter share39.1%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate9.1%

Median income$89,978

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3914, -119.1007 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Polo Greens scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.1% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,731 rent vs county FMR

7.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How The Polo Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

40%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.8%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
11.8%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
26.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens

It sits 1.6 points below the Kern County average of 6.4. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.3/10.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Kern County average of 49.2%. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.5/10. At $1,731 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Bakersfield commands. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $89,978.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003808

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003808?

Census tract 06029003808 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003808?

Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003808?

9.1% of residents in tract 06029003808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,745.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003808?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 86th, minority 74th, housing 55th.

Is tract 06029003808 considered part of The Polo Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003808 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06029003808 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003808 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003808 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.