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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bakersfield

Tract 06029003806 · Kern, CA · pop 5,634 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 06029003806 in the The Polo Greens area of Bakersfield, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,920
Renter share31.3%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$126,324

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In The Polo Greens
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#96 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#217 of 236 tracts In Kern
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#8,832 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4095, -119.1014 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Polo Greens scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,076 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How The Polo Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Polo Greens risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0038066.1Bakersfieldparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens

The voucher gap is 50.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,076, 41% above the Bakersfield average. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $126,324. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003806?

Census tract 06029003806 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029003806?

Median gross rent is $2,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003806?

9.5% of residents in tract 06029003806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,634.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 46th, minority 65th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 06029003806 considered part of The Polo Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003806 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06029003806 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06029003806 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003806 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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