Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bakersfield

Tract 06029003806 · Kern, CA · pop 5,634 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

How risky is The Polo Greens in Bakersfield for landlords? Census tract 06029003806 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,076 a month while the average household earns $126,324 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,920

Renter share31.3%

SVI overall0.21

Poverty rate9.5%

Median income$126,324

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4095, -119.1014 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Polo Greens scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.5% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$2,076 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How The Polo Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

23%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.0%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003806

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003806?

Census tract 06029003806 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003806?

Median gross rent is $2,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003806?

9.5% of residents in tract 06029003806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,634.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 46th, minority 65th, housing 12th.

Is tract 06029003806 considered part of The Polo Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003806 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06029003806 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003806 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003806 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.