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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Terra Linda Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Rafael

Tract 06041108202 · Marin, CA · pop 4,777 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Terra Linda neighborhood of San Rafael is where census tract 06041108202 sits, home to 4,777 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $94,592 a year. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 25% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$94,592

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Terra Linda
Very High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 62 tracts In Marin
Very High
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#4,126 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9991, -122.5498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terra Linda scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How Terra Linda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terra Linda risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 108202San Rafael: 8.38.3San Rafaelparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Terra Linda. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terra Linda

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Rafael, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marin County average of 5.4 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041108202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041108202?

Census tract 06041108202 in the Terra Linda neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041108202?

13.5% of residents in tract 06041108202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,777.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041108202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 73th, minority 52th, housing 92th.
Q4

Is tract 06041108202 considered part of Terra Linda?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041108202 fall within Terra Linda (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 06041108202 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06041108202 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041108202 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of San Rafael at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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