Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

San Rafael Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06041110200 · Marin, CA · pop 5,261 · 76% of tract blocks fall in San Rafael

Tract 06041110200 sits in San Rafael, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. Population here is 5,261. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units2,059
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$214,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Very Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 62 tracts In Marin
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#5,249 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12,919 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9856, -122.4742 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Rafael scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How San Rafael compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Rafael risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 1102007.9San Rafaelparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Rafael

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10.

Housing insecurity runs 5.6% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Marin County average of 7.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041110200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041110200?

Census tract 06041110200 in San Rafael scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041110200?

2.7% of residents in tract 06041110200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,261.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041110200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 22th, minority 23th, housing 2th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 06041110200 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 06041110200 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041110200 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of San Rafael at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related