Murrieta Hot Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. The voucher gap is 20.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.0 points below the Riverside County average of 6.6. At $2,777 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Murrieta commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.