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Neighborhood · Murrieta, CA

Murrieta Hot Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 21,517 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.2–6.8

Murrieta Hot Springs takes in 4 census tracts of Murrieta, CA and houses 21,517 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Murrieta baseline of 34.0%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 5.2 to 6.8. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. The voucher gap is 13.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $2,616 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Murrieta commands.

That places it #2 of 8 neighborhoods in Murrieta. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $103,185.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Murrieta Hot Springs vs Murrieta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.1% +47%
Murrieta: 34.0%
Average gross rent
$2,616 +10%
Murrieta: $2,388
Average HH income
$103,185 -6%
Murrieta: $109,780
Poverty rate
5.8% -2%
Murrieta: 5.9%
Renter share
23.2% -24%
Murrieta: 30.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Murrieta Hot Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.2–6.8

Why Murrieta Hot Springs scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–7.0 across tracts
6.3
Risk score comparison

Murrieta Hot Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Murrieta Hot Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Murrieta Hot Sprin: 5.85.8Murrieta Hot SprinNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Murrieta Hot Springs?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 5.2 to 6.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Murrieta Hot Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043210 6.8 4,322 80% $2,367
06065043209 5.9 3,481 24% $2,389
06065043211 5.6 7,289 54% $2,777
06065050301 5.2 6,425 39% $2,725
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Murrieta Hot Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Murrieta Hot Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Murrieta Hot Springs?

Murrieta Hot Springs scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Murrieta Hot Springs compare to Murrieta overall?

Murrieta Hot Springs scores 0.8 points lower than Murrieta overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,616 vs $2,388.
Q3

What is the average rent in Murrieta Hot Springs?

Average gross rent in Murrieta eviction risk Hot Springs is $2,616/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Murrieta Hot Springs residents are renters?

23% of Murrieta Hot Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Murrieta). The neighborhood has 21,517 residents.
Q5

Is Murrieta Hot Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Murrieta Hot Springs sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Murrieta Hot Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Murrieta Hot Springs is census tract 06065043210 (score 6.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 6.8, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Murrieta Hot Springs for landlords?

Murrieta eviction risk Hot Springs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Murrieta as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Murrieta Hot Springs?

Murrieta Hot Springs has 20,991 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.5%), Hispanic / Latino (30.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Murrieta Hot Springs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Murrieta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Murrieta Hot Springs.

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