Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Lynwood Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073003204 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,451 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 06073003204 sits in the Lynwood Hills area of National City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. Cost burden runs 33% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 15% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,054

Renter share22.2%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate8.8%

Median income$118,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6568, -117.0580 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lynwood Hills scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.8% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,436 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

5.7

How Lynwood Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lynwood Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.0%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
17.1%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
8.7%Transit barriers
11.0%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
29.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lynwood Hills

At $2,436 a month, rents run 44% over what the rest of National City commands. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.2/10. It sits 1.2 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $118,750.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003204

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003204?

Census tract 06073003204 in the Lynwood Hills neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073003204?

Median gross rent is $2,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003204?

8.8% of residents in tract 06073003204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,451.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 63th, minority 77th, housing 53th.

Is tract 06073003204 considered part of Lynwood Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003204 fall within Lynwood Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073003204 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073003204 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073003204 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.