Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Alta Vista Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073012002 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,149 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 06073012002 covers part of the Alta Vista area of National City, CA, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,149. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.4

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 31% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units1,257

Renter share85.8%

SVI overall1.00

Poverty rate21.6%

Median income$38,973

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6818, -117.0792 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alta Vista scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.6% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,290 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

5.7

How Alta Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alta Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.1%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
29.2%Food insecurity
26.7%SNAP enrollment
13.0%Transit barriers
14.0%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
36.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alta Vista

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $38,973, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Average gross rent is $1,290, 24% below the National City average. SNAP participation runs 26.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 29.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. It sits 0.8 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073012002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012002?

Census tract 06073012002 in the Alta Vista neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073012002?

Median gross rent is $1,290/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012002?

21.6% of residents in tract 06073012002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,149.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 93th, housing 96th.

Is tract 06073012002 considered part of Alta Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012002 fall within Alta Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073012002 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073012002 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073012002 scores 8.4/10, right in line with the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.