Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Marina District Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073005402 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,590 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 8/10, tract 06073005402 in the Marina District area of San Diego, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units2,637

Renter share44.0%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate12.1%

Median income$131,332

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7150, -117.1709 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marina District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.1% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$2,581 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Marina District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

14%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marina District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.2%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
3.9%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
22.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marina District

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally.

At $2,581 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of San Diego commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $131,332. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073005402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073005402?

Census tract 06073005402 in the Marina District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073005402?

Median gross rent is $2,581/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073005402?

12.1% of residents in tract 06073005402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,590.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073005402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 12th, minority 53th, housing 83th.

Is tract 06073005402 considered part of Marina District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073005402 fall within Marina District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073005402 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073005402 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073005402 scores 8/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073005402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.