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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

Tract 06073005802 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,972 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06073005802 is a census tract in the Little Italy area of San Diego, CA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,972 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 40% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,796
Renter share72.7%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$143,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Little Italy
Very Low
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#261 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#423 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#4,738 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7241, -117.1718 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,029 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Italy risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 005802San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

At $3,029 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of San Diego commands. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 15.8% against 31.5% nationally.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073005802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073005802?

Census tract 06073005802 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073005802?

Median gross rent is $3,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073005802?

5.2% of residents in tract 06073005802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,972.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073005802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 4th, minority 54th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 06073005802 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073005802 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073005802 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073005802 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073005802 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073005802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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