Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073005700 · San Diego, CA · pop 1,902 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06073005700 covers part of the Little Italy area of San Diego, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. 91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 45% Owners 9%

Tract context

Occupied units925

Renter share90.8%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate35.6%

Median income$75,181

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7253, -117.1626 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

35.6% poverty · this tract

8.9

Supply constraint

$1,674 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
97%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.1%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
23.4%Food insecurity
27.2%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,674, 28% below the San Diego average. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 27.2% against 15.2% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073005700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073005700?

Census tract 06073005700 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073005700?

Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073005700?

35.6% of residents in tract 06073005700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,902.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073005700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 30th, minority 64th, housing 89th.

Is tract 06073005700 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073005700 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073005700 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073005700 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073005700 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073005700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.