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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Otay Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073010001 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,415 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 06073010001 sits in the Otay area of San Diego eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. It is home to 4,415 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 16% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$101,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Otay
Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#187 of 328 tracts In Chula Vista
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#289 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#3,423 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.5868, -117.0554 · click any tract to drill in

Why Otay scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,563 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.5

How Otay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Otay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 010001Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Otay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Otay

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 43% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $2,563, 11% above the San Diego average.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $101,591.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073010001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073010001?

Census tract 06073010001 in the Otay neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073010001?

Median gross rent is $2,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073010001?

5.6% of residents in tract 06073010001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,415.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073010001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 91th, minority 92th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 06073010001 considered part of Otay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073010001 fall within Otay (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073010001 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073010001 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073010001 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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