Otay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,151, close to the San Diego average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $111,429.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.