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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Otay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chula Vista

Tract 06073010011 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,509 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Here is how census tract 06073010011, in the Otay area of Chula Vista eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,509. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,151 monthly, set against $111,429 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 9% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,048
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$111,429

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Otay
Low
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#208 of 328 tracts In Chula Vista
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#341 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#5,035 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.5795, -117.0548 · click any tract to drill in

Why Otay scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,151 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
7.5

How Otay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Otay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 010011Chula Vista: 8.38.3Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Otay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Otay

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073010011

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073010011?

Census tract 06073010011 in the Otay neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073010011?

Median gross rent is $2,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073010011?

5.9% of residents in tract 06073010011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,509.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073010011?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 68th, minority 93th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 06073010011 considered part of Otay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073010011 fall within Otay (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073010011 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073010011 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073010011 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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