Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Alta Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

Tract 06073011902 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,034 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06073011902 sits in the Alta Vista area of National City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. Population here is 6,034. 67% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 9% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,812

Renter share46.1%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate8.8%

Median income$76,685

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6884, -117.0814 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alta Vista scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.8% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,308 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

5.7

How Alta Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
12%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alta Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.6%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
20.8%Food insecurity
16.9%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
13.5%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alta Vista

Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $2,308 a month, rents run 36% over what the rest of National City commands. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $76,685, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.2/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073011902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073011902?

Census tract 06073011902 in the Alta Vista neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073011902?

Median gross rent is $2,308/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073011902?

8.8% of residents in tract 06073011902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,034.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073011902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 90th, minority 87th, housing 92th.

Is tract 06073011902 considered part of Alta Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073011902 fall within Alta Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073011902 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073011902 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073011902 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073011902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.