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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Alta Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

Tract 06073012003 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,910 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

06073012003 is a census tract in the Alta Vista area of National City, CA. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,910. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 24% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units803
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$93,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In Alta Vista
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#539 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#5,752 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6801, -117.0745 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alta Vista scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,541 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
5.7

How Alta Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alta Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 012003San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alta Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alta Vista

Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. It sits 0.9 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. At $1,541 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of National City commands.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $93,438.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073012003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012003?

Census tract 06073012003 in the Alta Vista neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073012003?

Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012003?

5.7% of residents in tract 06073012003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 84th, minority 92th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 06073012003 considered part of Alta Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012003 fall within Alta Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073012003 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073012003 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073012003 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073012003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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