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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Shelltown Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073011802 · San Diego, CA · pop 7,320 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

06073011802 is a census tract in the Shelltown area of National City, CA. It scores 8.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 24% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,956
Renter share70.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$57,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 13 tracts In Shelltown
Low
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In San Diego
High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#247 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6841, -117.0964 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelltown scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,772 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
5.7

How Shelltown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shelltown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.48.4This tracttract 011802San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shelltown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelltown

Cost burden runs 65% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $57,273 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 28.0% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.9% against 11.3% nationally. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,772, close to the National City average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073011802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073011802?

Census tract 06073011802 in the Shelltown neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073011802?

Median gross rent is $1,772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073011802?

16.4% of residents in tract 06073011802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,320.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073011802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 90th, minority 95th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 06073011802 considered part of Shelltown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073011802 fall within Shelltown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073011802 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073011802 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073011802 scores 8.4/10, right in line with the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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