Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Shelltown Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073011700 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,845 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

06073011700 is a census tract in the Shelltown area of National City, CA. It scores 8.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,845 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score

8.4

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 28% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units2,607

Renter share72.9%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate13.7%

Median income$56,045

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6738, -117.0970 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelltown scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.7% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,568 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

5.7

How Shelltown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shelltown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.5%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
28.3%Food insecurity
24.9%SNAP enrollment
13.2%Transit barriers
16.4%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
34.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelltown

Set annual rent against average income of $56,045 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.

SNAP participation runs 24.9% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,568, close to the National City average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073011700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073011700?

Census tract 06073011700 in the Shelltown neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073011700?

Median gross rent is $1,568/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073011700?

13.7% of residents in tract 06073011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,845.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073011700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 95th, minority 91th, housing 99th.

Is tract 06073011700 considered part of Shelltown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073011700 fall within Shelltown (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073011700 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073011700 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073011700 scores 8.4/10, right in line with the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.