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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho Bernardo Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

Tract 06073017057 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,929 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 06073017057 in the Rancho Bernardo area of San Diego, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 11% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,498
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$173,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Rancho Bernardo
Very High
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#313 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#461 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#4,881 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 33.0306, -117.0687 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho Bernardo scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,429 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Rancho Bernardo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho Bernardo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 017057San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho Bernardo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho Bernardo

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 6.3% against 17.8% nationally.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.4% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $173,750, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Average gross rent is $2,429, close to the San Diego average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017057

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017057?

Census tract 06073017057 in the Rancho Bernardo neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073017057?

Median gross rent is $2,429/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017057?

4.2% of residents in tract 06073017057 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,929.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017057?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 31th, minority 58th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 06073017057 considered part of Rancho Bernardo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017057 fall within Rancho Bernardo (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073017057 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073017057 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073017057 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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